Evolution of India’s position on the Russia-Ukraine War
Feb. 24, 2023

Why in news?

  • As the Russia-Ukraine war completes a year, the United Nations General Assembly is discussing a resolution calling for the need to reach, as soon as possible, a comprehensive, just and lasting peace.
  • Various countries, including Ukraine, have urged India to support a UNGA resolution timed for the first anniversary of the war.

What’s in today’s article?

  • News Summary

News Summary: Evolution of India’s position on the Russia-Ukraine War

  • Strategic autonomy
    • For India, the Ukraine war has been an opportunity to practice strategic autonomy.
    • Adopting a nuanced neutrality, Delhi has maintained its relationship with Moscow and worked around Western sanctions to buy oil from Russia.
    • As much as 25% of India’s oil purchase is now from Russia, from less than 2% before the war.
  • India’s voting at UN and its bodies
    • In the last year, the UN and its bodies have voted on resolutions pertaining to the Russia-Ukraine war at least 39 times: 38 times since Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24 and once in January 2023.
    • India, which has maintained a diplomatic balancing act and has walked the tightrope between US-led West and Russia, has abstained on most occasions.
  • More calibrated stance adopted by Delhi in the past one year
    • So far, India has taken a calibrated stance based on its own national interests.
      • It had said it was deeply disturbed, but did not name Russia at all.
      • It called for cessation of violence and hostilities, which is permanent in nature.
      • It had flagged its core concern about Indian nationals. About 22,000 Indian nationals, mostly students, had to be evacuated by special planes.
      • It called for respect for territorial integrity and sovereignty, and respect for UN charter and international law.
      • It maintained that dialogue and diplomacy is the path forward.
    • During the early phase of the war, India relied on balancing act since it needed cooperation from both Russian and Ukrainian sides to evacuate its citizens from the conflict zone.
      • After its last batch of students were airlifted by the second week of March 2022, the Indian position focused on the other elements: respect for UN charter, territorial sovereignty and integrity.
    • Although, after the Bucha massacre - in which innocent civilians were killed - India joined the western chorus in condemning the incident.
      • It even asked for an international probe.
  • Nukes must be off the table
    • As Russian President Putin and other Russian leaders made nuclear threats, India expressed concern.
    • India categorically said that no side should resort to the nuclear option.
      • Later, Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) chief said PM Modi’s concerns about the use of nuclear weapons have had an impact on the Russians amid Ukraine war.
  • India and the issue of food grains
    • New Delhi was approached by Ukraine and other partners to intercede when the issue of food grains being blocked by Russia was raised.
    • India stepped in to convey its message to Moscow.
  • India: SCO & G-20 declaration
    • PM Modi’s said to Russian President in Samarkand in September 2022 on the sidelines of the SCO: that “this is not an era of war”.
    • This became India’s mantra, which even found its way into the G-20 declaration in Bali.
  • First virtual summit of the Voice of the Global South
    • New Delhi’s position also evolved as it felt the impact of the rising energy prices and prices of commodities.
    • In January 2023, India hosted the first virtual summit of the Voice of the Global South, where it raised the issue of rising prices of food, fuel and fertiliser.
    • It also flagged the concerns of the developing and the less-developed world on energy and food security. This will now be the consistent theme till the G-20 summit.
  • India and the upcoming G-20 summit
    • With a year of geopolitical turmoil due to the Russia-Ukraine crisis, India — as the chair of G-20 — will face the challenge of negotiating a declaration while balancing between Russia and the West.

Conclusion

  • So far, India has walked on a diplomatic tightrope while maintain strategic autonomy in its decision making and promoting its national interests.
  • But the longer the war continues, the more pressure on India from the Western alliance to choose the right side.
    • Eg., this week, Ukraine asked India to support a UNGA resolution timed for the first anniversary of the war, asking Russia to withdraw from its territory.
  • In this context, serious diplomatic efforts needs to be made to end the war and the upcoming G-20 presidency can be used as a platform towards this direction.