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03 Oct 2026

Why the India-US Trade Deal Isn't Done Yet

Why in news?

Recently, US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said that India-US trade talks are in their "final phase," but signing is "not imminent" as both sides work to resolve "sticking points."

This came as a surprise — India and the US had already agreed to a framework agreement in February 2026, and Commerce Ministry officials had maintained a deal was essentially reached, with India believed to be holding out for better tariff rates.

What’s in Today’s Article?

  • Mixed Signals: The Russia Sanctions Law
  • The Section 301 Investigation
  • A Lopsided Framework?
  • The Sovereignty Concern
  • A Pattern Beyond Trade: The Canada Precedent
  • US Criticism of India's Domestic Investment Rules

Mixed Signals: The Russia Sanctions Law

  • In September 2026, President Donald Trump signed the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026 into law.
  • It allows for tariffs of up to 100% on major buyers of Russian energy — a category that includes India.
  • Unlike the earlier US tariff mechanism under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (which was struck down by the US Supreme Court), these new tariffs cannot be legally challenged.
  • In February, the US had agreed to remove an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports, in recognition of India's commitment to stop purchasing Russian oil.
  • In return, India committed to negotiate robust bilateral digital trade rules addressing discriminatory digital trade barriers.
  • The new Russia sanctions law now threatens to undo that earlier concession — sending conflicting signals to India.

The Section 301 Investigation

  • Separately, India awaits a decision on a US investigation under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974.
    • This probe is meant to determine whether India has "excess industrial capacity" that is harming American companies.
    • The first round of Section 301 action already resulted in 10% tariffs.
    • A second round is now expected.
  • Indian exporters report that this uncertainty is changing order patterns — US buyers are no longer placing bulk orders and are instead diversifying their import sources.
  • This could mean lower export orders for Indian businesses until a deal is finalised.
  • India's Position
    • Top US trade partners currently sit in a 10–15% tariff bracket, and India has sought better rates than ASEAN countries and China.
    • India countered the "excess capacity" claim, stating India's manufacturing serves both domestic and global needs without structural overcapacity.
    • India shares G20 concerns about trade-distorting support leading to dumping, but addresses this through evidence-based WTO measures — anti-dumping and countervailing duties — rather than unilateral tariffs.

A Lopsided Framework?

  • Under the February framework agreement, India committed to purchasing $500 billion worth of US products over five years — covering energy, aircraft and aircraft parts, precious metals, technology, and coking coal.
  • Experts point out there is no reciprocal US commitment to purchase Indian products, making the deal structurally one-sided.
  • The Sovereignty Concern
    • Beyond goods, the framework also includes a pledge to "strengthen economic security alignment".
    • This covers supply chain resilience, addressing "non-market policies of third parties," and cooperation on inbound/outbound investment reviews and export controls.
    • Trade experts warned: If India is compelled to negotiate provisions on economic security alignment which are similar to those contained in the various Agreements for Reciprocal Trade between the US and some countries, then it would substantially curtail India's sovereignty on foreign policy, trade and other economic matters.

A Pattern Beyond Trade: The Canada Precedent

  • Analysts draw a parallel with the US-Canada trade war. Canadian PM Mark Carney has hinted that the US wanted Canada to refrain from signing a deal with China as part of their bilateral pact.
  • This suggests that American trade demands increasingly extend into foreign policy alignment, not just goods and tariffs.
  • The implication is that US demands from India may similarly extend beyond conventional trade issues.

US Criticism of India's Domestic Investment Rules

  • In an investment climate report released last month, the US State Department flagged specific Indian regulatory concerns:
    • India's Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA) restricts concurrent FDI and FPI.
      • This creates what the report calls a "redundant and uniquely burdensome restriction that blocks independent funds within the same investment group from participating in IPOs.
    • The effective tax rate paid by foreign banks is 4.63 percentage points higher than domestic banks, at 38.22%.
    • The State Department warned this higher effective tax burden may ultimately affect the relative attractiveness of India as a market for foreign lenders, potentially influencing their capital allocation, pricing, and scale of local operations.

Conclusion

The delay isn't really about tariff percentages — it's about how much economic sovereignty India is willing to trade for market access. Between the Russia sanctions law, a pending Section 301 probe, a one-sided purchase commitment, and demands for "economic security alignment," India faces leverage on multiple fronts simultaneously. Until these threads are untangled, a signed deal will likely remain, as Greer put it, not imminent.

International Relations

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Article
03 Oct 2026

How Medicines Are Priced in India, and Why the Supreme Court Is Troubled

Why in news?

The Supreme Court described the markup between a medicine's price to retailers and its printed MRP as "carnage," calling it akin to "broad daylight dacoity with patients." A bench of Justices Vikram Nath and Sandeep Mehta, hearing petitions on medicine pricing, asked the Centre why the 16% retailer margin under the Drugs (Prices Control) Order (DPCO), 2013 should not apply to all essential medicines.

The triggering example: An essential cancer drug supplied to retailers for ₹2,700 carries an MRP of nearly ₹27,000 — ten times the supply price. The bench remarked: "If this is not extortion, then what is it? It is very surprising that the authorities who are supposed to take a decision on this are absolutely silent."

The petitions seek regulation of drug prices, generic prescriptions, medical devices, and stricter enforcement of price controls to prevent disproportionate profit margins across the drug supply chain.

What’s in Today’s Article?

  • The Legal Framework
  • Scheduled vs Non-Scheduled Medicines
  • How Ceiling Prices Are Calculated?
  • The Loophole: Non-Scheduled Medicines
  • The Constitutional Argument

The Legal Framework

  • Essential Commodities Act, 1955 gives the Centre power over essential goods, including medicines.
    • Section 3(1): Allows regulation of production, supply, and distribution "for maintaining or increasing supplies... or for securing their equitable distribution and availability at fair price."
    • Section 3(2)(c): Allows issuing orders to control commodity prices.
  • The DPCO is such an order (under Section 3(2)(c) of the act) — the primary framework governing medicine prices in India.
  • It authorises the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA), set up in 1997 under the Department of Pharmaceuticals, to:
    • Fix and revise ceiling prices of scheduled formulations.
    • Set retail prices for new drugs.
    • Monitor overcharging and enforce the DPCO.
    • Order recovery of money from companies if patients are overcharged.
    • In some cases, cap prices even of medicines/devices otherwise outside regular price control.

Scheduled vs Non-Scheduled Medicines

  • The DPCO divides medicines into two categories. A formulation means a medicine in a particular strength and dosage form.
    • Scheduled formulations: Listed in Schedule I of the DPCO, based on the National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM) prepared by the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare. These are subject to government price controls.
    • Non-scheduled formulations: Medicines not on this list — not subject to price ceilings.
  • The current NLEM contains 384 medicines, accounting for only 20% of total drug market turnover. This means 80% of the market operates largely outside direct price control.

How Ceiling Prices Are Calculated?

  • A ceiling price is the highest price at which a scheduled formulation can be sold, before taxes. The NPPA calculates it through a specific method:
    • It identifies every version (brand and generic) of a formulation sharing the same active ingredient.
    • It excludes versions accounting for less than 1% of total market sales, measured via Moving Annual Turnover (MAT) — a product's sales popularity over the previous year, sourced from market research firms.
    • For each remaining version, it takes the Price to Retailer (PTR) — what the manufacturer/distributor charges the chemist or hospital pharmacy.
    • It averages these PTRs, then adds a 16% retailer margin.
    • The result is the ceiling price — the MRP cannot legally exceed this, apart from local taxes or GST.
  • Example: If three versions hold ≥1% market share with PTRs of ₹8, ₹10, and ₹12, the average is ₹10. Adding the 16% margin gives a ceiling price of ₹11.60.
  • Annual Revision: Ceiling prices are revised every April 1, based on the Wholesale Price Index (WPI). Manufacturers may raise prices in line with the preceding year's WPI change without separate approval; if WPI falls, they must cut prices within 45 days.

The Loophole: Non-Scheduled Medicines

  • Medicines outside the NLEM face no price ceiling. Manufacturers can freely set the initial MRP. The only restriction: the MRP cannot rise by more than 10% in 12 months thereafter.
  • This is precisely what's being challenged. Petitioners argue that since the DPCO never regulates the launch price of non-scheduled drugs, manufacturers can set inflated prices from day one — making the 10% annual cap meaningless, since it only limits growth from an already-inflated base.

The Constitutional Argument

  • The PILs invoke Article 21 — the right to life, which includes the right to health — as the constitutional basis for regulating medicine pricing.
  • One petition argues that allowing manufacturers to freely set the initial MRP gives them arbitrary, unrestricted power to set any MRP, regardless of the actual cost of manufacturing the medicine.
  • Hospital pharmacy influence: The petition claims retail price or MRP of medicines by companies are decided according to inputs of corporate hospitals, and that pharmacy expenses constitute 30–40% of a critically ill patient's total bill in corporate hospitals.
  • Generic vs branded pricing: Citing Lok Sabha statements, the petition notes medicines sold under generic names (their composition names) are 50% to 90% cheaper than their branded counterparts — pointing to prescribing practices as another lever for reducing patient costs.

Conclusion

The Supreme Court's blunt language captures a system where regulation exists on paper but bites only a fifth of the market. A 16% margin cap means little when 80% of drugs can launch at any price a company chooses, and even "controlled" medicines can be marked up far beyond legal limits in hospital pharmacies. Fixing this requires closing the launch-price loophole, not just capping future hikes.

Economics

Article
03 Oct 2026

India’s SCO Visit to Pakistan - Strategic Significance and Future Outlook

Why in the News?

  • India recently sent a senior official to Pakistan for the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) Council of National Coordinators meeting, marking the first visit by an Indian official delegation to Pakistan since Operation Sindoor.

What’s in Today’s Article?

  • SCO Meeting in Pakistan (India’s Participation, Significance of the Visit, India’s Broader Strategy, etc.)

India’s Participation in the SCO Meeting

  • Pakistan assumed the rotating SCO presidency following the Bishkek summit held on August 31-September 1, leading to the national coordinators’ meeting in Islamabad.
  • Despite strained India-Pakistan relations, India participated in the meeting as an SCO member.
  • The Government of India sent Alok Dimri, a 1998-batch Indian Foreign Service officer and Additional Secretary in the Ministry of External Affairs.
  • The visit was also significant because it followed External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar’s participation in the SCO Heads of Government meeting in Pakistan in October 2024.
  • India’s participation illustrates the distinction between bilateral relations and multilateral institutional commitments. Membership of the SCO requires engagement in its meetings even when bilateral relations between member states remain difficult.

Significance of the Visit

  • Maintaining a Diplomatic Presence
    • India’s participation provides an opportunity to remain directly engaged with developments within the SCO, particularly while Pakistan holds the organisation’s presidency.
    • The Indian side is expected to closely observe Pakistan’s activities under the SCO framework, including the organisation of meetings and the presentation of territorial issues.
    • There are also concerns regarding possible references to Pakistan-occupied Kashmir in SCO-related events and the use of maps or other materials that depict Indian territory in ways contrary to India’s position.
    • Participation therefore allows India to remain present in the institutional process and respond to developments within the organisation.
  • Possibility of a Future Prime Ministerial Visit
    • Pakistan is expected to invite Prime Minister Narendra Modi to the SCO leaders’ summit in Pakistan next year, although the dates have not yet been announced.
    • Whether such a visit takes place would depend on the circumstances prevailing at that time. Prime Minister Modi has not visited Pakistan since 2015, while India had earlier boycotted the SAARC summit scheduled in Pakistan.
    • The SCO meetings could consequently serve as an institutional channel through which the feasibility of higher-level engagement can be assessed.
  • Limited Engagement Amid Wider Geopolitical Uncertainty
    • The India-Pakistan relationship is also being shaped by developments beyond South Asia.
    • The Russia-Ukraine conflict and the US-Iran conflict have consumed considerable international diplomatic attention. At the same time, India has had to manage its relationships with both the United States and China.
    • Within this environment, limited diplomatic engagement can provide channels for communication and situational awareness, even when comprehensive bilateral dialogue remains constrained.
    • Military-level contacts and multilateral platforms can also help maintain minimum communication channels during periods of heightened regional tension.
  • Kashmir and Terrorism Remain Sensitive Issues
    • India’s engagement at the SCO does not remove differences over issues such as Kashmir and terrorism.
    • Statements by Pakistan concerning these issues are likely to receive a strong response from India.
    • This highlights the continuing importance of managing sensitive bilateral issues even within multilateral forums.
    • For India, participation therefore involves balancing institutional engagement with the defence of its established diplomatic positions.
  • The China Dimension
    • The SCO engagement also needs to be viewed within the broader India-China relationship.
    • The India-China border standoff since May 2020 remains a major strategic concern for New Delhi. India consequently has an interest in preventing simultaneous escalation on multiple fronts.
    • Multilateral platforms such as the SCO provide opportunities for interaction with both China and Pakistan.
    • Such institutional contacts can contribute to communication and, under appropriate circumstances, help prevent tensions from escalating.

India’s Broader SCO Strategy

  • The SCO provides India with a platform to engage with major Eurasian countries on issues including regional security, connectivity, counter-terrorism and economic cooperation.
  • India's participation also reflects the importance of maintaining a presence in multilateral organisations even when bilateral relations with individual members are difficult.
  • This approach is consistent with the broader principle of strategic autonomy, where India maintains multiple diplomatic channels rather than allowing bilateral tensions to completely restrict multilateral engagement.
International Relations

Article
03 Oct 2026

Super El Niño - Preparing India for an Ecological and Socioeconomic Crisis

Context:

  • The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and other global scientific institutions have expressed high confidence in the possibility of a Super El Niño in 2026–27.
  • El Niño is associated with the weakening of the Walker circulation, which can influence the Indian summer monsoon, agriculture, marine ecosystems and livelihoods.
  • As the situation calls for proactive preparation, India's preparedness should therefore integrate climate adaptation, ecosystem-based disaster risk reduction and livelihood resilience.

Super El Niño - An Emerging Global Threat:

  • High probability: Forecasts indicate a 97% probability of El Niño continuing into spring 2027, with NOAA assigning over 80% probability to it becoming a strong or very strong event.
  • Exceptional intensity: Sea surface temperature anomalies could exceed 2°C in the key Pacific monitoring region, potentially reaching 4°C.
  • Global consequences: Such an intense event, superimposed on long-term global warming, could intensify extreme weather and cause significant economic losses worldwide.

Implications for India's Climate and Agriculture:

  • Disruption of the Indian Monsoon:
    • El Niño involves abnormal warming of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, which alters atmospheric circulation and weakens the Indian summer monsoon.
    • Historically, strong El Niño events have coincided with severe droughts in India, including those of 1972, 2002 and 2009.
    • The 2026 event could aggravate existing rainfall deficits, particularly as the southwest monsoon has already performed below its long-period average.
  • Threat to agricultural productivity:
    • Inadequate rainfall has already affected rice, pulses, cotton and maize production in several regions.
    • Low reservoir levels pose additional challenges for irrigation during the rabi season.
    • The combined effects of drought, heat stress and water scarcity could threaten agricultural productivity and rural livelihoods.

Ecological Consequences of Super El Niño:

  • Impact on terrestrial ecosystems:
    • The effects of an exceptionally strong El Niño on India's forests, grasslands and riverine ecosystems remain poorly understood.
    • Changes in plant phenology (seasonal patterns of growth, flowering and fruiting), tree mortality, forest fires and animal behaviour require systematic monitoring.
    • Rising temperatures could further intensify existing ecological stress.
  • Coral reef bleaching:
    • Higher ocean temperatures cause coral bleaching, potentially resulting in widespread coral mortality.
    • Researchers from the Nature Conservation Foundation (NCF) recorded a 50% decline in Lakshadweep's coral reefs between 1998 and 2025, although conservation efforts had helped some reefs recover.
    • The 1998 El Niño destroyed 80–90% of live coral on several studied Lakshadweep reefs.
    • More frequent and intense El Niño events could undermine recovery and threaten marine biodiversity.
  • Marine heat stress and fisheries:
    • The Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS) anticipates severe marine heat stress in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, potentially peaking around March 2027.
    • Rising sea temperatures could reduce the availability of commercially important fish, including sardines and mackerel.
    • This would threaten the livelihoods of millions of fishers and affect coastal economies.

India's Preparedness - Key Challenges:

  • Inadequate ecological data: Despite decades of experience with El Niño, India lacks systematic, long-term data on its effects on terrestrial and marine ecosystems.
  • Limited understanding of vulnerabilities: The impacts on farmers, pastoralists, fishing communities and ecosystem-dependent livelihoods remain insufficiently documented.
  • Institutional fragmentation: Limited coordination among government agencies, researchers and conservation organisations restricts comprehensive monitoring.
  • Insufficient field research: Large-scale remote sensing cannot fully capture local ecological changes and their socioeconomic consequences. On-site observations are essential.

Way Forward - Towards a Super El Niño Abhiyan:

  • Strengthen scientific monitoring:
    • Establish real-time, field-based monitoring systems to track coral bleaching, forest mortality, wildfire risks, urban heat islands and changes in plant and animal behaviour.
    • Promote long-term ecological research to identify vulnerable ecosystems and understand their capacity for recovery.
  • Promote institutional collaboration:
    • Bring together government agencies, public and private research institutions, conservationists and local communities.
    • Encourage interdisciplinary research integrating climate science, ecology, agriculture and social sciences.
  • Mobilise resources and build resilience:
    • Provide urgent government funding and facilitate access to vulnerable ecosystems for scientific research.
    • Mobilise philanthropic investment to support ecological monitoring and community-based research.
    • Translate scientific findings into early-warning systems, disaster preparedness and locally appropriate adaptation strategies.

Conclusion:

  • The potential Super El Niño presents India with an ecological and socioeconomic challenge that could be aggravated by climate change.
  • A shift from reactive disaster management to proactive, evidence-based preparedness is essential.
  • A proposed Super El Niño Abhiyan, combining scientific research, administrative coordination and community participation, could help strengthen India's ecological resilience and protect vulnerable livelihoods.
Editorial Analysis

Article
03 Oct 2026

India’s Model BIT — A Decade Later, Amid Changes

Context

  • India’s decision to revise its Model Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) nearly a decade after the 2015 framework comes at an important stage in the evolution of international investment law.
  • The Union Budget 2025-26 announced the revamp to make the framework more investor-friendly.
  • However, the objective is not simply to increase investor protection but to incorporate India’s experience since 2015 while responding to changes in the global investment regime.
  • A revised Model BIT should promote investment, legal certainty, sustainable development and regulatory autonomy while limiting unnecessary litigation risks.

A Cautious Framework

  • India’s 2015 Model BIT emerged amid concerns over investor-state arbitration, particularly after the White Industries Australia Limited v. Republic of India award in 2011.
  • It adopted a cautious framework with a narrower definition of investment, carefully defined substantive protections, regulatory exceptions and a requirement to pursue domestic judicial and administrative remedies for five years before treaty arbitration.
  • India’s subsequent treaty practice has become more flexible. The India-UAE BIT reduced the local-remedies period to three years, while the India-Israel Bilateral Investment Agreement, effective from July 2026, also provides a three-year period.
  • These agreements demonstrate a gradual shift from the rigidity of the 2015 framework.
  • A Model BIT should function as a starting point for negotiations, rather than an inflexible template.
  • Individual agreements should retain flexibility to reflect the economic and legal circumstances of treaty partners.

What a New Model Must Factor In?

  • Most Favoured Nation (MFN) Provision
    • The inclusion of a MFN clause requires careful consideration.
    • Most Indian investment treaties have excluded MFN provisions, limiting investors’ ability to invoke protections contained in other treaties.
    • If included, the clause must clearly define its scope. Maffezini v. Spain demonstrated how an MFN provision could potentially be used to access more favourable dispute-settlement arrangements from another treaty.
    • Conversely, Plama Consortium v. Bulgaria adopted a restrictive interpretation where such an extension was not clearly authorised.
    • India should therefore specify whether MFN provisions apply to dispute settlement, reducing interpretive uncertainty.
  • Investor Obligations and Counterclaims
    • The revised model should also establish clearer investor obligations.
    • The India-Uzbekistan BIT permits a state to bring counterclaims against investors or investments in specified circumstances.
    • The new model could incorporate clearly defined responsibilities relating to compliance with domestic law and responsible investment.
    • Such provisions would create greater symmetry between investor rights and obligations while establishing a legal basis for legitimate state counterclaims.

Dispute Settlement Reform

  • The five-year domestic-remedies requirement under the 2015 Model should be reassessed.
  • The three-year periods in the India-UAE and India-Israel agreements indicate greater flexibility in India’s approach.
  • The revised model could strengthen consultation, mediation and dispute-prevention mechanisms before arbitration.
  • Early resolution could reduce litigation, costs and uncertainty while improving investor-state relations.

Need for Precision and Clarity

  • The revised model should provide greater precision regarding expropriation and Fair and Equitable Treatment (FET).
  • Ambiguous provisions can encourage conflicting interpretations and increase disputes.
  • At the same time, investor protection should not undermine the state’s right to regulate in the public interest.
  • The treaty should clearly distinguish legitimate regulation from compensable expropriation.
  • Similarly, sustainable development and responsible investment should be supported by enforceable legal provisions wherever India intends to impose investor obligations rather than remaining merely aspirational principles.

Conclusion

  • India’s Model BIT revision provides an opportunity to create a clearer, balanced and adaptable investment framework.
  • The experience of the past decade suggests that excessive rigidity can restrict treaty flexibility, while vague protections can generate uncertainty.
  • The revised model should incorporate India’s evolving treaty practice, clarify MFN provisions, reform dispute settlement, recognise investor responsibilities, strengthen dispute prevention and preserve regulatory policy space.
  • A carefully designed Model BIT can strengthen India’s position in the changing global investment regime and enable it to play a greater role in shaping international investment rules.

 

Editorial Analysis

Article
03 Oct 2026

A Court Divided by Its Own Architecture

Context

  • The Supreme Court of India is the guardian of the Constitution and is expected to provide authoritative answers to fundamental legal questions.
  • However, its expanding workload, fragmented Bench system and delays in constituting Constitution Benches have created significant institutional challenges.
  • The September 23 split verdict concerning the Chief Election Commissioner and other Election Commissioners (Appointment, Conditions of Service and Term of Office) Act, 2023 illustrates these difficulties.
  • The disagreement was not initially about the validity of the law but about whether a two-judge Bench was competent to decide the challenge.

The Election Commissioners’ Appointment Framework

  • The 2023 Appointment Law
    • The 2023 Act provides that the Chief Election Commissioner and Election Commissioners shall be appointed on the recommendation of a committee consisting of the Prime Minister, Leader of the Opposition in the Lok Sabha and a Union Cabinet Minister nominated by the Prime Minister.
    • The law replaced the interim arrangement established by the Constitution Bench in Anoop Baranwal vs Union of India (2023), under which the Chief Justice of India served as the third member of the selection committee.
  • The Article 145(3) Dispute
    • During the proceedings, the Union government argued that the challenge raised a substantial question concerning constitutional interpretation and therefore required a minimum five-judge Bench under Article 145(3).
    • Justice Dipankar Datta rejected this argument, while Justice Satish Chandra Sharma accepted it.
    • The matter was consequently placed before the Chief Justice for consideration of a Constitution Bench.
    • Article 145(3) does not require every important or new case to be heard by five judges. It applies when there is a substantial question of constitutional interpretation.
    • Earlier decisions have distinguished constitutional interpretation from merely applying an already established constitutional principle.

The Constitutional Significance of Anoop Baranwal

  • The Interim Nature of the CJI’s Role
    • Both judges agreed that the CJI’s membership of the appointment committee in Anoop Baranwal was an interim arrangement, intended to operate until Parliament enacted legislation.
    • However, the judgment went beyond merely creating that temporary mechanism.
  • Protection from Executive Dominance
    • The Constitution Bench had held that Article 324 requires safeguards against exclusive executive control over appointments to the Election Commission.
    • This constitutional principle is binding under Article 141.
    • Justice Datta therefore viewed the central issue as whether the new statutory arrangement complied with an already established constitutional requirement.
    • Justice Sharma adopted a different approach, reasoning that since the constitutional validity of the 2023 Act had not previously been authoritatively decided, the matter required a Constitution Bench.

The Broader Institutional Problem

  • Transformation of the Supreme Court
    • The Supreme Court has changed considerably since 1950. It now has a sanctioned strength of 38 judges and functions largely through two-judge Benches.
    • A large part of its workload consists of special leave petitions and ordinary appeals, while Constitution Benches are constituted only when judges can be spared from this daily workload.
  • Fragmentation and Judicial Consistency
    • This structure can result in different Benches developing different interpretations of legal principles. Such fragmentation creates challenges for precedent, consistency and constitutional certainty.
    • The problem becomes particularly serious when constitutional questions remain unresolved for years.
    • Anoop Baranwal, for instance, was instituted in 2015, referred to a Constitution Bench in 2018 and decided only in 2023.

The Consequences of Judicial Delay

  • By the time the present challenge is finally decided, Election Commissioners appointed under the disputed law may have already overseen multiple State and general elections.
  • Thus, delay can create a fait accompli, making a later judicial ruling less capable of reversing the consequences of an earlier decision.
  • Constitutional courts must resolve fundamental questions in a reasonable time so that legal uncertainty does not persist indefinitely.

The Way Forward: Institutional Reform

  • One possible reform is the creation of a permanent Constitution Bench dedicated primarily to constitutional questions.
  • The Law Commission’s 229th Report (2009) had already proposed a similar structural arrangement.
  • The Master of the Roster system gives the Chief Justice substantial authority over Bench composition.
  • In a Court with 38 judges, this is more than a routine administrative function.
  • Bench composition should therefore be governed by transparent, predetermined and objective rules to strengthen institutional confidence and reduce uncertainty.

Conclusion

  • The dispute over the Election Commissioners’ appointment law reveals a deeper structural challenge facing the Supreme Court.
  • Delayed Constitution Benches, fragmented adjudication, uncertainty over precedent and concentrated roster powers can weaken the Court’s ability to perform its constitutional role effectively.
  • Reforms should provide clearer standards under Article 145(3), faster constitution of larger Benches, transparent Bench allocation and stronger adherence to precedent.
  • The Supreme Court was conceived not merely as an appellate institution but as the guardian of constitutional governance.
  • Its institutional structure must therefore ensure that the most important constitutional questions are answered before delay makes those answers practically ineffective.

 

Editorial Analysis

Article
02 Oct 2026

A Fire in Fort Kochi: What Was Lost at the Historic Koder House

Why in news?

The Koder House, a key heritage landmark in Fort Kochi functioning as a luxury hotel, was gutted by a major fire.

The structure is believed to have first been built during the Dutch occupation of Kochi (1663–1795) and was later bought and renovated by SS Koder, patriarch of a Paradesi Jewish family, in the 19th century.

What’s in Today’s Article?

  • How Old Is the Structure?
  • Who Were the Koders?
  • The Koders' Legacy in Fort Kochi
  • What Made the Structure Architecturally Unique?
  • What the Fire Destroyed?

How Old Is the Structure?

  • Heritage experts agree the building is old, but its exact construction year cannot be ascertained due to a lack of documentation.
  • Former Mayor of Kochi and member of INTACH Kerala chapter, estimates the building to be at least two centuries old.
  • Other experts date it to around three centuries, saying it "bears the signs of at least 300 years of history."
  • The hotel's own website had claimed it was a Portuguese structure, but historians and heritage experts say this is inaccurate — the building is more recent and was built during the Dutch period.

Who Were the Koders?

  • The Dutch reasons for constructing the building are unknown, but SS Koder renovated it and used it as his family home.
  • Origins — A Point of Disagreement Among Experts
    • Few analysts say the Koders were Paradesi Jews — immigrants from outside India, with most of the community's migration originating from Spain and other parts of Europe.
    • Other analysts, however, believe the Koders migrated from Iraq, tracing the family's roots to West Asia.
    • Unlike most Paradesi Jews — distinct from Kochi's Malabari Jews — who emigrated to their countries of origin or Israel in the 1950s, the Koder family never left Fort Kochi.
    • Experts note that family members are "buried in Kochi."

The Koders' Legacy in Fort Kochi

  • The Koders were among the richest families in Fort Kochi, with wide-ranging civic and commercial influence.
  • Samuel Koder served as the Cochin princely state's Honorary Consul to the Netherlands and later as municipal chairman of Fort Kochi.
  • The family brought electricity to Kochi through the Cochin Electric Company, burning coal to generate power and supplying it across Fort Kochi and Mattanchery islands.
  • They were prominent traders with global connections, running a textile and crockery store that doubled as a luxury goods outlet.
  • Before economic liberalisation, when foreign goods were unavailable in Kerala or India more broadly, the Koders imported luxury items and sold them to the local populace.

What Made the Structure Architecturally Unique?

  • The main Koder House has a simple architecture with balconies, built by the Dutch and later renovated by the Koders.
  • But its most distinctive feature lies at the rear:
    • A Guest House, connected to the main building by a wooden bridge.
    • This guest house was where the Koders hosted entrepreneur and business friends from across the globe.
    • The guest house also has a courtyard containing a small pond, or Mikvah — a space for Jewish ritual/holy bathing.
    • According to experts, this is believed to be the only such Mikvah in Ernakulam — making it a site of singular religious and cultural significance.
  • What survived: Kerala's fire service confirmed that only the top floor of the main Koder House was gutted. The flames were prevented from spreading to the historic guest house, the Mikvah, and the connecting wooden bridge.

What the Fire Destroyed?

  • According to fire service officers, the top floor's ancient roof and columns were gutted.
  • Beyond the physical structure, the loss extends to irreplaceable historical material:
    • Photographs and paintings documenting the Koder family's history.
    • Furniture and tapestry, much of it originally imported from across the world.

Conclusion

The Koder House fire did more than damage a roof — it consumed photographs, paintings and furnishings that cannot be replaced, each a fragment of a Jewish community's three-century presence on India's coast.

With the Mikvah and guest house spared, part of that legacy survives. But the loss is a reminder that India's heritage structures, often undocumented and privately held, remain one accident away from permanent erasure.

History & Culture

Article
02 Oct 2026

Restructuring to Avoid Listing: Tata Sons' Merger Plan and the RBI Rulebook

Why in news?

A proposed merger of Tata Electronics Systems and Tata Consulting Engineers (TCE) with Tata Sons could fundamentally alter the holding company's character — reducing the proportion of its assets and income tied to financial and investment activities.

Tata Trusts argue this restructuring would let Tata Sons exit the RBI's regulatory definition of an NBFC or Core Investment Company (CIC), and thereby avoid mandatory stock exchange listing.

What’s in Today’s Article?

  • Why Tata Sons Faces a Listing Requirement?
  • Will the Tata Sons Board Agree?
  • Will the RBI Approve It?
  • The Core Strategy: Becoming Less of an Investment Company
  • Tata Electronics: The Group's Fourth-Largest Company

Why Tata Sons Faces a Listing Requirement?

  • Tata Sons currently functions primarily as the principal holding company of the Tata Group, with large investments across group companies.
  • The company has been classified by the RBI as an "upper-layer NBFC". This classification triggers a mandatory listing requirement under RBI norms.
  • Tata Sons had sought deregistration from the NBFC framework, but the RBI rejected this request.
  • The company is also navigating other unresolved matters: AGM approval for Chairman N Chandrasekaran's continuation, the status of the AGM itself, and the removal of a restraining order on the Sir Ratan Tata Trust.

Will the Tata Sons Board Agree?

  • This is the central uncertainty, shaped by an ongoing power struggle within the group.
    • On September 17, 2026, the Tata Sons board voted 4:1 to proceed with the RBI-mandated listing process.
    • In favour: Harish Manwani, Anita M. George, Venu Srinivasan, and Saurabh Agrawal.
    • Opposed: Only Noel Tata.
  • Tata Sons board may meet and take a decision on the latest proposal. Going by the tone of the September 17 meeting, they are likely to oppose it. Even if the board agrees, the RBI will have to be convinced.
  • This sets up a two-stage hurdle: first the board, then the regulator.

Will the RBI Approve It?

  • The RBI holds substantial regulatory power over the NBFC sector, and its approval is far from guaranteed.
  • The restructuring does not automatically mean Tata Sons will cease to be classified as an NBFC or CIC.
  • The final outcome depends on:
    • The precise structure of the merger transactions.
    • The post-merger business composition of Tata Sons.
    • How the RBI applies its regulatory criteria to the restructured entity?
    • Whether the Tata Sons board gives its go-ahead in the first place?

The Core Strategy: Becoming Less of an Investment Company

  • A Core Investment Company (CIC) is, by definition, an entity whose principal business is acquiring shares and securities of group companies, subject to RBI's regulatory criteria.
  • The restructuring is designed to change this fundamental character — making Tata Sons more of an operating company and less of an investment company.
  • This would work through two routes:
    • Tata Electronics — brings a large manufacturing and semiconductor business directly into Tata Sons.
    • TCE — adds an established engineering and consultancy operation with substantial independent revenues.
  • If, after restructuring, Tata Sons no longer satisfies the regulatory conditions for CIC/NBFC classification, the basis for mandatory listing could itself change.
  • In essence, instead of being primarily a holding company with investments in Tata companies, Tata Sons would directly own and operate major businesses.

Tata Electronics: The Group's Fourth-Largest Company

  • Tata Electronics has become one of the Tata Group's fastest-growing operating businesses.
    • In just four years, it has grown to become the group's fourth-largest company by revenue, at ₹131,082 crore.
    • Its workforce of 86,466 is nearly two-thirds women.
    • It positions itself as an integrated player across electronics and semiconductors — spanning electronics manufacturing, semiconductor fabrication, advanced packaging, and indigenous chip development.
    • Its operating profit has reached breakeven, marking a shift from a capital-intensive startup phase to commercial operations.
  • Key Achievements
    • Manufactured about 12% of total global iPhone volume in 2025.
    • Building India's first high-volume semiconductor fabrication facility in Gujarat (Dholera).
    • Packaged what Tata describes as India's first indigenous microprocessor.

TCE: Adding a Fee-Generating Engineering Business

  • Tata Consulting Engineers (TCE) is India's largest private-sector engineering and project consultancy, established in 1962, with projects executed in 60 countries.
    • Reported consolidated income of ₹2,885 crore in FY26.
    • Provides engineering and project-management capabilities across a wide range of sectors.
    • Acts as an "Owner's Engineer and Project Consultant," offering services from concept development to commissioning, while integrating digital technologies and sustainability practices.
  • Analysts note TCE's inclusion is significant because it adds another operating, fee-generating business — not another investment-holding entity — to Tata Sons' balance sheet.

Conclusion

This is less a business merger than a regulatory redefinition — Tata Trusts are trying to change what Tata Sons is, not just what it owns. But the path runs through two gatekeepers who don't answer to each other: a divided board already leaning the other way, and a central bank that has already said no once.

Whether India's most storied holding company goes public may ultimately hinge on how convincingly a semiconductor plant and an engineering consultancy can make it look like something other than an investment company.

Economics

Article
02 Oct 2026

UPSC Examination Reforms - Reasoning, Judgment and Future-Ready Selection

Why in the News?

  • As the Union Public Service Commission (UPSC) marks 100 years of its institutional journey, its Chairman has emphasised reforms aimed at assessing reasoning, spontaneous thinking and judgment under ambiguity, rather than predictable or coached responses.

What’s in Today’s Article?

  • UPSC at 100 (Evolution, Competency-based Assessment, Examination Integrity, Future, Key Challenges, etc.)

UPSC at 100: Institutional Evolution

  • The first Public Service Commission in India was constituted on 1 October 1926 as an advisory body.
  • Over the following decades, it evolved into an independent constitutional body responsible for conducting examinations and recruitment for various public services.
  • The centenary celebrations, titled ‘Manthan’, brought together public officials and experts to discuss the changing requirements of civil services, innovations in public administration and the institutional values underlying public service.
  • The UPSC undertakes around 250 recruitment processes every year across disciplines such as engineering, medicine, science, economics and defence.
  • The Civil Services Examination is conducted annually for recruitment to services including the IAS, IFS and IPS.

Shift Towards Competency-Based Assessment

  • A major theme highlighted by the UPSC Chairman Ajay Kumar is the need to assess capabilities that are difficult to reproduce through memorisation or coaching.
  • The emphasis is on three interconnected abilities:
    • Reasoning: Ability to analyse information, identify relationships and reach logically supported conclusions.
    • Spontaneous thinking: Ability to respond appropriately to unfamiliar or unexpected situations.
    • Judgment under ambiguity: Ability to make reasoned decisions when information is incomplete or competing considerations are involved.
  • This approach reflects the nature of public administration, where civil servants frequently have to deal with complex situations that may not have predetermined solutions.
  • The Chairman also emphasised three principles for the Commission's next phase: trust, transparency and technology.
  • At the same time, he stated that technological and examination-format changes should preserve the constitutional principles of merit, fairness and equal opportunity.

Technology and Examination Integrity

  • The Commission is also expanding the use of technology in its examination processes.
  • Measures highlighted during the centenary discussions include:
    • Digital e-admit cards
    • Face authentication to strengthen examination integrity
    • Universal Registration Number (URN) introduced in 2025
    • Randomised interview boards
    • A 30-channel IP-based Candidate Helpdesk
    • Expansion of examination centres
  • The UPSC's technology journey itself has evolved over several decades, beginning with the introduction of computers in 1978.
  • Technology can improve administrative efficiency and examination security, but its role is not limited to digitisation.
  • The broader objective is to create systems that are accessible, transparent and capable of reducing procedural difficulties for candidates.

Future of Civil Services Recruitment

  • The centenary discussions also focused on how the civil services must respond to changing governance requirements.
  • Speakers highlighted the importance of outcome-oriented administration, reducing departmental silos, encouraging informed decision-making and preparing administrators for rapidly changing technological and social environments.
  • Discussions also covered artificial intelligence, data analytics and digital architectures as tools for improving public-service delivery.
  • Another issue raised was the need to widen recruitment from Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities and aspirational districts, thereby expanding the geographical diversity of the public-service talent pool.
  • The examination system therefore faces a dual requirement: maintaining a rigorous and standardised selection process while ensuring that assessment methods remain relevant to the competencies required in contemporary governance.

Key Challenges in Examination Reform

  • Reforming a large-scale competitive examination involves several considerations:
    • Objectivity: New assessment methods must retain measurable and comparable standards.
    • Fairness: Changes should not create advantages for candidates with access to specialised coaching or technology.
    • Transparency: Candidates should understand the broad principles and procedures governing evaluation.
    • Examination security: Greater digitisation requires strong safeguards for candidate data and examination infrastructure.
    • Accessibility: Technological reforms must remain accessible to candidates across different socioeconomic and geographical backgrounds.

Conclusion

  • The UPSC's centenary provides an opportunity to examine how public-service recruitment can evolve alongside changing governance requirements.
  • Greater emphasis on reasoning, spontaneous thinking and judgment under ambiguity, combined with technology-enabled examination processes, represents an effort to align selection methods with the competencies expected of future public servants.
  • The continuing challenge is to introduce such reforms while preserving merit, fairness, transparency and equal opportunity.
Polity & Governance
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