Context:
- President Emmanuel Macron’s fourth visit to India since 2017 underscores the steady transformation of India–France relations, especially in defence, technology, artificial intelligence (AI), and the Indo-Pacific.
- His engagements in Mumbai and Delhi reflect not just bilateral warmth with the Indian Prime Minister, but a deeper recalibration in India’s global strategy — one that increasingly runs through Europe.
- This visit coincides with India’s broader pivot towards Europe, evidenced by high-level exchanges, EU participation in Republic Day celebrations, and progress on trade negotiations.
Key Highlights/ Outcome of the French President Visit to India:
- Shared vision:
- At a time of global geopolitical flux, the Indian PM described the Indo-French partnership as a “force for stability”.
- Both leaders underscored shared principles of rule of law, strategic autonomy, opposition to hegemony, and advocacy of sovereign equality, and technological sovereignty.
- Institutional elevation: From Strategic to “Special Global Strategic” Partnership, marking a qualitative shift in India–France ties across defence, technology, innovation, space, AI governance, and economic cooperation.
- AI governance (A “Third Way” Approach):
- Macron emphasised transparent algorithms, respect for diversity, and ethical AI governance.
- This echoes India’s attempt to promote a “third way” between the American corporate-dominated AI model, and Chinese state-centric digital control.
- Their joint participation in the AI Action Summit in Paris (2025) and the India AI Impact Summit signals growing cooperation in global norm-setting.
- Defence and industrial cooperation (From Buyer-Seller to Co-Production):
- H125 Helicopter: Both leaders virtually inaugurated the Airbus H125 Helicopter final assembly line in Vemagal, Karnataka.
- Dassault Rafale: Recent developments include expansion of India’s Rafale fleet (Air Force and Navy). French willingness to produce components in India. Joint jet-engine development.
- Significance: Reinforcing Make in India, Atmanirbhar Bharat in defence, defence technology transfer, etc.
- Launch of India–France Year of Innovation: Marked at the iconic Gateway of India, this initiative aims -
- At deeper integration between two knowledge-based economies.
- To promote joint R&D, enhance digital sovereignty, create high-skilled workforce, and strengthen startup and industrial ecosystems.
- Space diplomacy (TRISHNA Satellite): A joint mission between ISRO and CNES, TRISHNA will help monitor and understand climate change through advanced thermal infrared observation.
- Counter-terrorism and strategic signalling: President Macron paid tribute at the Taj Mahal Palace Hotel to victims of the 26/11 attacks, reiterating France’s firm stance against terrorism.
- Economic and cultural diplomacy:
- Amendment of Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) protocol enhances investment climate.
- Farm-to-plate agricultural tracking projects reflect cooperation in sustainable agriculture and food systems.
- Macron’s engagement with investors in Mumbai underscores economic partnership.
- Cultural diplomacy (cinema interaction, museum cooperation) strengthens soft power ties.
Analysing These Outcomes:
- Rethinking multipolarity:
- Despite rhetorical emphasis on multipolarity, the global balance of power remains asymmetrical.
- For example,
- The United States remains pre-eminent.
- China continues to rise.
- Middle powers like India and France lag behind in economic and technological scale.
- The AI sector exemplifies this imbalance, challenging the simplistic usage of multipolarity and highlighting structural hierarchies in global power.
- Geopolitical drivers (Space created by American retrenchment):
- The US is increasingly focused on the Western hemisphere, pressuring allies for greater burden-sharing.
- This encourages regional self-reliance in Eurasia and the Indo-Pacific, and creates strategic space for India–France cooperation, India–EU strategic engagement, and expanded Indo-Pacific coordination.
- Importantly, India–France ties are not anti-American; rather, they complement India’s diversified engagement strategy.
- India’s European pivot:
- India no longer sees Europe as merely an adjunct of Washington in US-China rivalry.
- Instead, it views Europe — especially France — as a source of advanced technology, a partner in economic diversification, a geopolitical balancer, and a contributor to India’s “strategic autonomy”.
- This marks India’s exploration of what can be termed a “multipolar West” — recognising internal differentiation within the Western bloc.
- Institutionalising the partnership (Horizon 2047 Framework):
- Unveiled in 2023, Horizon 2047 is a long-term roadmap aligning India and France’s cooperation until India’s centenary of independence.
- Key pillars: Defence industrial cooperation, space collaboration, energy transition, technology and AI, and Indo-Pacific maritime security.
- This institutionalisation reflects a shift from transactional ties to structural strategic alignment.
Strategic Implications for India:
- Diversification within the West: The “collective West” is not monolithic. Partnership with France allows India to reduce overdependence on Washington. Engage a geopolitically assertive Europe. Expand strategic manoeuvring space.
- Mitigating vulnerabilities: Cooperation among Delhi, Paris, and Brussels can help address supply-chain risks, enhance technological resilience, and balance geopolitical pressures. Manage economic interdependence with China.
- Historical significance: India, a post-colonial state, has built a stable and forward-looking partnership with a former imperial power embedded in the political West.
Challenges:
- Structural power asymmetry: US-China dominance in technology and capital markets.
- European fragmentation: Varied threat perceptions within the EU. Economic slowdown in Europe may limit investment capacity.
- AI norm-setting constraints: Limited technological weight compared to US and China.
- Defence technology transfer sensitivities: Intellectual property and export control barriers.
Way Forward:
- Deepen co-production: Move towards joint R&D in defence and aerospace. Integrate Indian private sector.
- Institutionalise AI collaboration: Joint regulatory platforms. Shared standards in ethical AI.
- Strengthen Indo-Pacific cooperation: Maritime domain awareness, trilateral partnerships (India–France–Australia, etc.).
- Expand economic engagement: Conclude and operationalise India–EU trade agreements, and strengthen clean energy partnerships.
- Build normative coalitions: Lead middle-power coalitions on digital governance and climate action.
Conclusion:
- The “Macron moment” goes beyond bilateral warmth. It signals a deeper shift in India’s geopolitical imagination — from abstract multipolar rhetoric to a calibrated engagement with a differentiated West.
- By strengthening ties with France and a strategically autonomous Europe, India widens its strategic options, reduces overdependence, and enhances its manoeuvrability in a complex global order.
- For India, multipolarity is no longer merely about balancing great powers — it is about constructing resilient networks of partnerships across traditional East-West and North-South divides. The India–France axis stands at the heart of this transformation.