Is Delhi’s AQI 500 or 1,500? The Confusion is Part of the Problem
Nov. 20, 2024

Context

  • Air pollution is an urgent global concern, especially in regions like northern India, where the winter months bring record-breaking levels of toxic air quality.
  • Addressing this crisis requires immediate and long-term strategies grounded in scientific understanding.
  • The problem is multi-faceted, exacerbated by weather conditions, human activity, and climate change, and demands innovative, multidisciplinary solutions that prioritise human health and sustainability.

 The Air Quality Crisis in Northern India and the Role of Climatic Conditions

  • The Air Quality Crisis in Northern India
    • The severity of air pollution in northern India, particularly in Delhi, is alarming and recent records indicate severe-plus air quality, with PM2.5 levels exceeding 500 µg/m³.
    • For context, an Air Quality Index (AQI) of 400, classified as severe, corresponds to only 250 µg/m³, highlighting the extreme nature of the situation.
    • This crisis unfolded despite a significant reduction in stubble-burning incidents, surprising experts and defying most forecasting models.
    • Analysis of atmospheric conditions revealed the presence of a polluted air blanket at around 500 meters above the surface, descending at night due to cooler temperatures and causing a sharp rise in pollution levels during the day.
    • This phenomenon suggests the intrusion of external pollutants, compounded by local emissions and fossil fuel usage, creating a toxic environment that endangers public health.
  • The Role of Climate Change and Weather Patterns
    • The warmest October on record, delayed La Niña onset, and altered wind circulation patterns are contributing to worsening air quality.
    • La Niña, typically associated with improved wind dispersion, has been inconsistent, as evidenced by past winters.
    • These unusual weather phenomena highlight the growing complexity of managing air pollution under changing climatic conditions.

Challenges in Monitoring and Measuring Air Quality

  • Inconsistencies in AQI Reporting
    • One major challenge is the disparity between AQI readings reported by official agencies and private entities.
    • While private agencies sometimes report AQI levels exceeding 1,000 or even 1,500, government figures rarely go beyond 500, even when using the same raw data.
    • India’s AQI guidelines rely on breakpoint thresholds that are less stringent than those prescribed by the World Health Organization (WHO).
    • These breakpoints dictate how pollutant concentrations translate into AQI values and ultimately into public health advisories.
  • Gaps in Satellite Monitoring
    • Satellite-based monitoring plays a vital role in tracking pollution sources such as stubble burning. However, current systems have significant limitations.
    • For instance, NASA’s MODIS satellite, a key tool for detecting fire incidents, only passes over affected regions twice daily.
    • Farmers, aware of this limitation, have reportedly adjusted the timing of stubble burning to avoid detection.
    • This has introduced a new layer of complexity to pollution management, as official fire counts may no longer reflect ground realities.
  • Lack of Integration Between Monitoring Systems
    • India's air quality monitoring network suffers from fragmentation and inadequate coverage.
    • Ground-based monitoring stations are concentrated in urban centres, leaving vast rural and peri-urban areas underrepresented.
    • This limits the ability to capture a complete picture of regional pollution patterns.
    • Furthermore, the integration between ground-based and satellite-based data remains suboptimal, leading to gaps in understanding pollution sources and their trajectories.
  • Transparency and Public Accessibility
    • Another issue lies in the accessibility of air quality data to the public. While government agencies publish AQI data, the methodologies and thresholds used to calculate these figures are not always transparent.
    • This lack of clarity diminishes the credibility of official reports and makes it difficult for individuals and communities to take informed action.
    • Public trust is further eroded when discrepancies between official and private data are not adequately explained.

Necessary Measures Toward a Sustainable and Health-Centric Framework

  • Rethinking Pollution Management: The Airshed Approach
    • One critical shift needed in air quality management is moving beyond political or regional boundaries and focusing on airsheds.
    • Airsheds are geographical regions that share the same air circulation patterns, making them more scientifically appropriate for managing pollution sources.
    • For instance, pollution in Delhi often originates in neighbouring states due to shared airsheds.
    • Adopting an airshed approach requires regional cooperation and the creation of joint task forces across states.
    • These task forces could develop shared mitigation strategies, such as coordinated crop residue management to reduce stubble burning or synchronised industrial emission controls.
  • Building Technological Independence
    • India has the technological capacity to revolutionise air quality monitoring.
    • Investments in high-resolution satellite systems designed specifically for air quality assessment can make the country self-reliant in pollution tracking.
    • Satellites like INSAT-3D/3DR already have significant potential, but their use in air quality monitoring remains underexplored.
    • A dedicated satellite with advanced sensors for pollutants such as PM2.5, ozone, and nitrogen dioxide could provide real-time data critical for forecasting and managing air quality.
  • Integration of Satellite Data with Ground Based Monitoring Systems
    • Integrating the satellite data with ground-based monitoring systems and advanced chemical transport models would improve the accuracy of pollution forecasts.
    • This integration would enable policymakers to anticipate pollution spikes and take pre-emptive measures, such as issuing public health advisories, implementing traffic restrictions, or temporarily shutting down high-emission industries.
  • Strengthening Regulatory Frameworks
    • While India’s AQI system reflects local epidemiological studies, its standards are less stringent than global benchmarks like the WHO’s guidelines.
    • Aligning Indian standards with international norms could lead to better health outcomes, especially for vulnerable groups like children, the elderly, and those with pre-existing conditions.
    • Moreover, regulations must be dynamic, adapting to emerging challenges such as changing stubble-burning practices or new sources of industrial emissions.
    • Regularly updating these standards based on scientific evidence would ensure that they remain relevant and effective in mitigating pollution.
  • Public Awareness and Community Participation
    • A health-centric framework must involve communities at every level.
    • Public awareness campaigns can educate citizens about the health risks of pollution and encourage behaviours such as carpooling, reducing waste burning, and using public transport.
    • Community participation can also drive grassroots solutions, such as local air quality monitoring networks and citizen-led tree-planting drives.
    • Transparency is critical to fostering public trust and participation.
    • Making air quality data easily accessible and understandable ensures that citizens can hold authorities accountable while taking informed personal actions to reduce exposure.
  • Developing Health-Centric Policy Framework
    • A sustainable framework must place human health at the core of all air quality initiatives.
    • This means not only reducing pollutant levels but also improving healthcare systems to address the consequences of air pollution.
    • Strengthening respiratory care infrastructure, providing free or subsidised protective measures such as air purifiers and masks, and expanding research into pollution-related health impacts are vital components of a health-centric strategy.

Conclusion

  • The air pollution crisis in northern India exemplifies the interplay of human activity, weather patterns, and climate change.
  • Addressing it requires a shift from reactive, short-term measures to proactive, science-based strategies.
  • By investing in advanced monitoring systems, developing international cooperation, and adopting stringent health-focused policies, India can lead the way in combating air pollution sustainably.