Context:
- Recent terrorist attacks on tourists in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, highlight the persistent threat from Pakistan’s deep state.
- The attack is part of Pakistan's attempts to derail democratic normalcy and development in the region.
Lessons for India:
- Historical parallels:
- America’s strategic myopia: America evacuated its personnel from the roof of its Saigon embassy via helicopter (on 30 April, 1975) and lost a proxy war in Vietnam.
- End of soft separatism in J&K: Same year, Sheikh Abdullah returned to democratic politics in J&K (as the elected CM of J&K), ending 22 years of soft separatism.
- Modern misjudgments - Trump and Munir:
- Trump’s proposal to “empty Gaza” (to make it a Mediterranean Florida) ignores historical lessons.
- Pakistan Army Chief Asif Munir echoed outdated ideas - Jinnah's two-nation theory and Z.A. Bhutto’s "jugular vein" rhetoric on Kashmir. Both ignore India’s institutional strength, strategic autonomy, and economic rise.
Three Pillars of India’s Long-Term Kashmir Strategy:
- Specialisation - Targeted security operations:
- Intelligence-driven operations led to the formation of Rashtriya Rifles (1990) and Special Operations Groups (1993).
- Replacement of BSF with CRPF (1995) and CBI with NIA for counter-terror financing shows institutional adaptability.
- Moderation - Minimum use of force:
- India followed a path opposite to the US's "search and destroy" in Vietnam.
- Strategy rooted in public order with minimal resistance, echoing Subrata Mitra's “Governance by Stealth”.
- Symbols of legitimacy: Surrender of terrorists at Hazratbal (1993), state election voting lines (2024).
- Democracy - Civil participation in conflict zones:
- Frequent elections, civil service involvement, and respecting political diversity, even those who espoused soft separatism.
- Reflects a deeper commitment to democratic processes versus Pakistan’s unstable governance (no PM completing a full term since 1947).
Killings Signal Pakistan’s Desperation:
- India’s evolving strategy - abrogation of Article 370, cross-border strikes, strategic autonomy, and infrastructure development (e.g., railways) - is yielding results.
- Terrorist attacks are a reaction to India’s success in integrating J&K, not a sign of weakness.
Message from Kashmir:
- Kashmiris: After the murders at Baisaran (Pahalgam, J&K), Kashmiris are on streets blaming Pakistan for the attack.
- Security forces of India:
- 1,608 J&K police, 511 CRPF, and hundreds of army personnel’s supreme sacrifice in protecting J&K depicts that “The flag does not flutter in the wind, but with the last breath of martyrs.”
- So, “Veer Bhogya Vasundhara” (The brave shall inherit the earth) is the symbolic message from the forces.
Conclusion - Strategic Resolve over Reaction:
- India's response must be seen not as war-mongering but as measured, courageous defence of peace.
- The world must draw lessons from India’s experience: institutional resilience, democratic depth, and calibrated security actions.