The Link Between Climate Change and Rising Incidents of Severe Turbulence in Aircraft
May 31, 2024

Why in News? After a Singapore Airlines flight from London to Singapore was hit by sudden and severe turbulence over Myanmar, a Qatar Airways flight from Doha to Dublin encountered severe turbulence over Turkey. Though flights around the world experience varying degrees of turbulence on a daily basis, the recent incidents that result in serious injuries are rarer, pointing towards the impact of explosive growth in air traffic and climate change.

What’s in Today’s Article?

  • What is Flight-Turbulence, its Types and Causes?
  • Impact of Climate Change on Flight-Turbulence

What is Flight-Turbulence, its Causes and Types?

  • Meaning of flight-turbulence:
    • Turbulence is an irregular motion of the air resulting from eddies and vertical currents.
    • It may be as insignificant as minor bumps or severe enough to throw an airplane out of control or to cause structural damage.
    • Turbulence is associated with fronts, wind shear, thunderstorms, etc.
  • Effects of flight-turbulence:
  • Types of flight-turbulence:
    • Light turbulence momentarily causes slight changes in altitude resulting in slight bumpiness.
    • During moderate turbulence, aircraft may experience more notable changes in altitude and attitude, but the plane remains well under control.
    • In severe turbulence, there are significant and sudden changes of altitude and attitude, and the aircraft could momentarily go out of control.
    • In extreme turbulence, the plane is violently tossed about and is practically impossible to control.
  • Causes of flight-turbulence:
    • Mechanical turbulence: It is the result of friction between the air and the ground - irregular terrain and man-made obstacles - that leads to formation of eddies.
    • Convective or thermal turbulence: It is caused when hot air from certain ground surfaces rises rapidly while cooler air descends, resulting in convective air currents. Frontal turbulence: It is caused by the friction between two opposing air masses and the lifting of warm air by the sloping frontal surface and is most common close to thunderstorms.
    • Wind shear: It is the change in wind direction/ wind speed (in temperature inversion areas, around jet streams, etc) over a specific horizontal or vertical distance.
      • Clear air turbulence (CAT), which can be sudden and severe and is extremely difficult to forecast or see, may be considered as a type of wind shear turbulence.

Impact of Climate Change on Flight-Turbulence:

  • Findings of the study: According to some studies, climate change could make turbulence more frequent and severe.
  • How can this be claimed?
    • Climate change is strengthening the jet streams that cause turbulence.
    • A large increase in CAT between 1979 and 2020 in the mid and aircraft cruising altitudes.
    • Over the North Atlantic, severe/ greater CAT durations increased by more than 55% over this period.
  • Future predictions:
    • The frequency of severe turbulence would increase more than that of light or moderate turbulence.
    • Not only CAT, but also mountain wave turbulence and near-cloud turbulence will intensify due to climate change.