Why in News?
Gold prices have crossed ₹1 lakh per 10 grams for the first time, driven by a surge in international markets after US President Donald Trump announced plans to overhaul the Federal Reserve.
In Mumbai, 24-karat gold was priced at ₹1,01,350 and 22-karat at ₹92,900 per 10 grams. The rise reflects gold's status as a safe haven amid global market volatility, concerns over Trump's tariff plans, and potential inflation due to Fed changes.
What’s in Today’s Article?
- Reasons Behind Gold Prices Crossing ₹1 Lakh-Mark
- Indian Gold Market: Size and Significance
Reasons Behind Gold Prices Crossing ₹1 Lakh-Mark
- Surge in Global Gold Prices
- Gold prices have surged globally, crossing $3,400 per ounce, contributing to a significant rise in India.
- This surge is attributed to a weakening US dollar, making gold more affordable for foreign currency holders.
- The US dollar continued to weaken, falling to its lowest level since 2022. As tensions between Trump and the Fed mount, global investors are retreating from US assets.
- A weaker dollar boosts gold demand, as it becomes cheaper for international investors.
- Uncertainty Surrounding US Monetary Policy
- The rally is fueled by renewed uncertainty over US monetary policy, following President Trump’s plans to overhaul the Federal Reserve.
- Concerns about the Fed's independence have created uncertainty in financial markets.
- His criticism of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and calls for lower interest rates have intensified market concerns.
- Geopolitical Tensions and Inflation Concerns
- Escalating geopolitical risks, such as tensions over Russia-Ukraine, and persistent inflation fears are also driving gold's safe-haven appeal.
- The US Federal Reserve has warned that tariffs could disrupt its economic objectives, further supporting gold demand.
- Central Bank and Institutional Demand
- The gold rally is further supported by increased buying from China, global central banks, and institutional investors, as well as growing concerns over the US economic outlook and debt crisis.
- Analysts Insight
- Analysts highlight that escalating tariff tensions, the uncertain US economic outlook, and continued buying activity from major global players are adding momentum to gold’s upward trajectory.
Indian Gold Market: Size and Significance
- India is the second-largest gold market in the world, following China.
- In 2024, gold demand in India reached 802.8 tonnes, up from 761 tonnes in 2023. China’s demand was 985 tonnes.
- Value of Gold Demand in India
- The total gold demand value in India surged by 31% in 2024, reaching ₹5.15 lakh crore compared to ₹3.92 lakh crore in 2023, according to a World Gold Council (WGC) report.
- Cultural and Financial Importance of Gold
- Gold holds a crucial cultural role in India, often passed down through generations.
- It is commonly used as a financial asset during times of need, such as medical expenses or college fees, with individuals pledging gold jewelery to secure loans.
- Gold Loans: A Popular Financing Option
- Economic slowdowns and uncertainties, such as trade wars and inflation, have driven an increase in gold loans as a stable financial solution.
- The growth of digital platforms, apps, and fintech solutions has made gold loans more accessible, even in remote areas, further boosting their popularity.