Context:
- The Nayara Energy–Microsoft episode highlights a critical vulnerability in India’s digital ecosystem.
- Although India has built globally acclaimed Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI), its growing dependence on foreign-controlled cloud services, AI, and semiconductor technologies raises concerns about long-term digital sovereignty and strategic autonomy.
The Nayara Energy Incident - A Wake-Up Call:
- In 2025, Nayara Energy, one of India's major oil refiners, received a notice from Microsoft indicating that cloud services could be discontinued due to U.S. sanctions compliance obligations linked to its Russian shareholder, Rosneft.
- Although the threat was not ultimately enforced, the episode exposed a key reality - Indian companies operating legally within India can still be affected by decisions taken under foreign jurisdictions if they rely on foreign-owned digital infrastructure.
- The incident demonstrated how geopolitical tensions can directly impact business operations through digital dependencies.
Digital Infrastructure - The New Strategic Asset:
- Cloud platforms such as Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services (AWS), and Google Cloud are no longer mere technology services.
- They constitute critical infrastructure supporting the banking and financial transactions, healthcare systems, government databases, supply-chain management, and enterprise operations.
- Since these platforms are owned and governed by foreign corporations subject to their home-country laws, access can potentially be restricted or influenced by geopolitical considerations.
India’s Success in DPI:
- India has emerged as a global leader in Digital Public Infrastructure through platforms such as:
- Aadhaar – Digital identity
- UPI – Digital payments
- DigiLocker and eSign – Digital document management
- Ayushman Bharat Digital Mission (ABDM) – Health data architecture
- Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC) – Open digital commerce ecosystem
- Key features of India’s DPI:
- Open and interoperable architecture
- Public-interest orientation
- Non-extractive data governance
- Innovation-friendly ecosystem
- National ownership and control
- These platforms have reduced dependence on private digital monopolies and enabled inclusive digital growth.
The Unfinished Agenda - Infrastructure Dependence:
- Despite controlling the application layer through DPI, India remains heavily dependent on foreign entities for:
- Cloud infrastructure: Most fintech, health-tech, and digital businesses built on Indian DPI rely on foreign hyperscalers such as AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud.
- Artificial Intelligence (AI):
- Large Language Models (LLMs) and foundational AI systems are largely controlled by U.S. and Chinese firms.
- Their training datasets, embedded values, safety guardrails, and governance structures are outside Indian regulatory oversight.
- Semiconductor ecosystem: Advanced chips powering cloud computing and AI are overwhelmingly produced through global supply chains beyond India's control.
- Owning digital applications, while renting the underlying infrastructure, amounts to a form of “digital tenancy.”
Digital Sovereignty vs Digital Isolationism:
- The goal is to lessen strategic vulnerabilities while maintaining integration with the global digital economy, not to promote technological protectionism or isolation from international markets.
- The challenge is achieving a balance between openness and sovereignty.
Four Policy Levers for Strengthening Digital Sovereignty:
- Move beyond data localisation:
- Keeping sensitive data within India is important but insufficient.
- So, India must also ensure operational control over critical systems, audit rights for domestic authorities, and emergency powers to maintain continuity during crises.
- True sovereignty requires control over infrastructure, not merely data storage.
- Develop sovereign cloud capabilities:
- Initiatives such as MeghRaj and expanding domestic data-centre investments provide a foundation.
- The objective should be indigenous cloud infrastructure, strategic redundancy, and sovereign fallback options for critical services.
- Extend the DPI model to AI:
- India successfully created alternatives to foreign platform dominance through UPI and ONDC.
- A similar approach is required for AI through Indian foundational models; sector-specific AI for agriculture, healthcare, education, and governance; and public digital AI infrastructure.
- Such systems would align AI development with Indian priorities and regulatory frameworks.
- Build a global south digital coalition:
- India’s DPI collaborations across Africa, Latin America, and Southeast Asia can evolve into a broader digital partnership.
- This could help democratise digital governance, reduce dependence on dominant technology powers, and create alternative standards and norms for the digital economy.
Strategic Significance for India:
- The future geopolitical competition will increasingly occur through digital infrastructure rather than conventional domains alone.
- Key concerns include technological sovereignty, national security, data governance, economic resilience, strategic autonomy, AI governance, and critical infrastructure protection.
- Countries that control their cloud infrastructure, AI ecosystems, and semiconductor capabilities will enjoy greater policy independence and resilience.
Conclusion:
- India’s DPI represents a remarkable achievement and a global model of inclusive digital governance.
- The next phase of India's digital transformation must focus on securing the infrastructure layer, ensuring that technological self-reliance extends beyond platforms to the foundational systems on which the digital economy operates.